Thursday, November 3, 2016

Global Push To Achieve SDGs Vision and Words with Action Agenda 31

ISPE       EAG
INTERATIONAL SOCIETY FOR POVERTY ELIMINATION                   ECONOMIC ALLIANCE GROUP

Special Address to IMF 2016 Annual Research Conference, Washington DC, 3 – 4 November 2016
Proposal on New Global Partnership Initiative for Actualizing IMF Fit for 21st Century Vision
Introduction

The IMF, a Key Member Institution in the UN System – UNO, WBG and IMF started its Annual Research Conference, ARC, in 2000. The 2016 edition is the Seventeenth in the Series. Now is a good time to evaluate the first 16 editions, to really understand what IMF is Doing Right and How it could be significantly improved and what IMF is Doing Wrong and How it could be corrected and in ways that help IMF and indeed the entire UN System – UNO, WBG, IMF Delivery as One, that is the Pillar of the UN System – UNO, WBG, IMF being Institution Fit for the 21st Century and Institution that delivers of its Responsibilities in the Great Work towards achieving increasing convergence between 2030 Agenda – AAAA, SDG, COP21 and Agenda 21 Visions Intention and Reality in each Community in each of the 193/306 UN Member States.

The Final Session on Economic Forum: Policy Challenges after the Great Recession, is probably the most appropriate session to take holistic look at points made in this Paper. However, it could be helpful if all remaining Sessions in ARC 2016 really shift focus away from abstract presentations and discussions to focus on real and complex National Economy problems on the ground facing real and ordinary people on the ground in each Community in each of the 193/306 UN Member States.

We highlight this Economic Forum Session because the Topic assumes that the Great Recession is over and so there is a need to focus on Policy Challenges Moving Forward. With due respects, our Study finding is that the Great Recession is yet to Start hence the need to understand the difference between getting out of Great Recession that has already occurred and preventing a Great Recession that is yet to occur.

It is clear that the Fire Brigade effort in 2008 managed to somewhat contain a Great Recession but it was Symptoms that were treated and so the diseases only got worse. As the disease is getting increasingly worse, the probability of another Fire Brigade attempt containing a looming Great Recession when it becomes Visible, may not succeed this time around and the Result could be a Great Recession that make that of the 1930s Child’s Play.

It is pertinent to note that increasing numbers of Children, Youth, Women, Men and Elders in the UK are living in Victoria Era conditions and the situation in the US is that increasing numbers of Children, Youth, Women, Men and Elders in the UK are living in Jim Crow Era conditions, with many not having access to Water and Sanitation Facilities and in some Communities in the US today Children play in Sewage. The situation is urgent as it is widespread in many Developed and Developing Countries in our World today.

This Paper set out ISPE/EAG Thoughts on New Priorities and New Direction for IMF and indeed UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF; Member States and CSOs/NGOs if Sustainable Solutions that effectively promote and protect the Common Interest and Common Future of over 7 Billion People, especially the over 2 Billion in both Developed and Developing Countries are to be found, fully implemented with effective monitoring and evaluation of this implementation, and on time to avoid total collapse of our Fragile Planet.

IMF ARC History

The first Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund was held in Washington, DC, on November 9 and 10, 2000. This conference brought together academic scholars from many institutions and young researchers in the Fund to present and discuss papers on various topics of current interest to the IMF. The topics for this first conference included monetary and exchange rate policy in crisis situations, private sector involvement in crisis resolution, exchange-rate regimes and currency unions, and effects of adjustment programs. This was a Mundell-Fleming lecture.

The second Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 29 and 30, 2001. Speakers included scholars from universities and other research institutions as well as young researchers in the Fund. This year's conference had a focus on the economic consequences of large devaluations and currency crises, stabilization policies in emerging markets, and the political economy of economic reforms and IMF programs. This was a Mundell-Fleming lecture in honor of one of the pre-eminent scholars of modern international finance, Rudi Dornbusch.

The third Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 7 and 8, 2002. Speakers included scholars from universities and other research institutions as well as young researchers in the Fund. The 2002 conference discussed capital flows and global governance. This was a Mundell-Fleming lecture.

The Fourth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 6-7, 2003 discussed capital flows and Macroeconomic Cycles.

The Fifth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 4 and 5, 2004. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in international economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policymakers. The 2004 conference was devoted to Policies, Institutions, and Instability, and their linkage to growth and crises in a global environment. This was the first Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series.

The Sixth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 3–4, 2005. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2005 conference was devoted to Reforms. This was the second Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series.

The Seventh Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 9–10, 2006. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2006 conference was devoted to Capital Flows. This was the third Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series.

The Eighth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 15–16, 2007. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2007 conference was devoted to Exchange Rates. This was the third Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series.

The Ninth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 13–14, 2008. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2008 conference was devoted to Macro Financial Linkages. This was the fourth Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series.

The Tenth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 5–6, 2009. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2009 conference was devoted to Financial Frictions and Macro Economic Adjustments. This was the fifth Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series.

The Eleventh Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 4–5, 2010. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2010 conference was devoted to Macro Economic and Financial Policies after the Crisis. This was the sixth Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series.

The Twelfth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 10–11, 2011. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2011 conference was devoted to Monetary and Macroprudential Policies. This was the seventh Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series.

The Thirteenth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 8–9, 2012. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2012 conference was devoted to Labor Markets through the Lens of the Great Recession. This was the eight Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series.

The Fourteenth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 7–8, 2013. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2013 conference was devote to Crisis: Yesterday and Today. This was the ninth Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series.

The Fifteenth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 13–14, 2014. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2014 conference was devoted to Cross Border Spill Overs. This was the tenth Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series and the first to also be described as both Mundell-Fleming Lecture and Jaques Polak Lecture.

The Sixteenth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 5–6, 2015. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2015 conference was devoted to Unconventional Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies. This was the eleventh Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series and the second to also be described as both Mundell-Fleming Lecture and Jaques Polak Lecture.

The Seventeenth Annual Research Conference of the International Monetary Fund took place in Washington, DC, on November 3–4, 2016. The conference was intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research in economics, undertaken both by IMF staff and by outside economists, and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policy makers. The 2016 conference is devoted to Macroeconomics after the Great Recession. This was the twelfth Jaques Polak Lecture in the Annual Research Conference Series and the third to also be described as both Mundell-Fleming Lecture and Jaques Polak Lecture.

Rethinking the ARC

The Agenda for each Annual Research Lecture does not appear to have any Role for the Individual that Lecture was intended to honor. Given IMF Image in Countries across the World, and IMF Score Card in the Design and Delivery of Policy, Program, Project Interventions, 3PIs and 3PIs Training as One in the work towards achieving IMF Vision in each of the 193/306 UN Member States, should an objective International Development Cooperation Profession not ask, what really has the ARC achieved in the past 16 years? And How have these achievements help IMF Executive Management and Governing Council achieve increasing convergence between IMF Vision Intention and Reality in each Community in each of 193/306 UN Member States? Can clear and correct answers to these questions be found without Rethinking ARC and in ways that answer the following Big Questions?

As part of Rethinking ARC, consideration should be given to the desirability of continuing to devote each ARC towards honoring a specific Individual compared to desirability of giving Innovation and Creativity Awards to good ideas and pertinent suggestions that have been demonstrated and seen to demonstrate that these Work at Community, Sub-national, Country, Sub-regional, Regional and Global levels within the topic of the ARC for that year and also more spirited effort needs to be made to ensure that as from 2017 ARC fundamental issues of Diversity, Perspectives, Competences and Inclusion are meaningfully addressed and in ways that effectively correct related gaps, flaws and failures in the past 17 ARCs’.

Big Questions

The ARC over the years discuss annual topics cross cutting within essentially 4 Themes – Macroeconomic Policy, Monetary Policy, Reform and Recession.

The Big Questions are What Has the ARC Outcome in past 16 years achieved? If IMF Internal and External Publics do not actually learn lessons from flaws and failures of past 16 editions of ARC, will the same mistakes not be made in the next 16 editions of ARC starting from the 2016 edition? Can our Fragile Planet afford the ultimate consequences of IMF Platforms such as ARC being empty rituals contributing little or Nothing towards effectively addressing real and complex National Economy problems facing the Ordinary Citizen in each Community – Rural and Urban in each of the 193/306 UN Member States? Can IMF continue with business as usual instead of business unusual and parroting change instead of practicing change? Noting that ARC was Designed as Platform for discussing Innovative Research being undertaken within and outside IMF? That is Can IMF continue practicing Academic Research that is Abstract and essentially aimed at advancing the frontiers of knowledge instead of practicing Development Research that is Practical and essentially aimed at achieving significant improvements in critical contemporary Measures of Service, Speed, Quality, Costs and where necessary revenue?

Overarching World Problems

Poverty, Hunger, Insecurity/Terrorism and Climate Change are the most urgent problems facing our World today and demand National Leaders and World Leaders work SMARTer to continuously improve collaboration, cooperation, cohesion and coordination within North South and South South Multi Stakeholder Platforms, MSPs, that effectively link each Community in each of the 193/306 Member States to UNO Headquarters New York, WBG Headquarters Washington, IMF Headquarters Washington, FAO/IFAD Headquarters Rome and ILO Headquarters Rome.

Members of the MSPs should come from Decision Makers and Management Staff on Member States Governments – Executive, Parliament, Judiciary at all levels; UN System – UNO, WBG, IMF Decision Makers and Management Staff at Headquarters, Regional Offices and Country Offices and CSOs/NGOs Decision Makers and Management Staff at Headquarters, Regional Offices and Country Offices sides and the activities of the Master MSP and MSPs should cover Political, Cultural, Economic, Financial, Social, Environment, Peace, Security, Religious, Moral, Legal, Technical Dimensions of AAAA, SDG, COP21, Agenda 21 in all UN Member States.

The above Big Questions need to be clearly and correctly answered in the context of real and complex overarching World problems on the ground in each rural and urban community in each of the 193/306 UN Member States.
Reforming the UN System – UNO, WBG, IMF to be Fit for the 21st Century

The UN System – UNO, WBG, IMF have Central Role to Play if National Resilience, Mitigation, Adaptation Plan, NRMAP-Ag (Agriculture) Vision this is Integral Part of NRMAP Vision, that is integral part of UN System New IDCR, that is integral part of AAAA Vision, SDG Vision, COP21 Vision and Agenda 21 Vision, is to be designed and delivered from Community to Global levels. Records show that several UN Declarations in 2015 and 2016 underlined this fact. Some have specific provisions calling on UNDESA to Re-engineer itself. The reality is without appropriate help from External and Internal Consultants with minimum certain levels of Hard and Soft Competences, UNDESA cannot deliver on this responsibility. Also UNDESA Re-engineering that is not integral part of other UN System Entities Re-engineering is not likely to achieve much in the work towards achieving the 2030 Global Agenda by target date.

We suggest Re-engineering 8 UNO Entities: UNDP – Poverty and Governance; UNICEF – Children and Family Welfare; WHO – Health, Lifestyle and Wellbeing; UNEP – Climate Change and Environmental Protection; FAO – Food, Agriculture and Nutrition; ILO – Entrepreneurship and Employment; WTO – Commerce and Trade and UNODC – Crime and Corruption and 8 UNO New York Headquarters Entities – UNSC, OPGA, EOSG, UNCEB, ECOSOC, GA Committees, UNDESA, UNDPI, WBG Select Entities; IMF Select Entities, that is Integral Part of UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF Delivery as One, DaO Driving Transformation to make each UN System Entity an International Institution Fit for the 21st Century.

UN System New International Development Cooperation Reform, IDCR Multidisciplinary Professionals Community of Practice

The current UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF IDCR relies heavily, sometimes exclusively and sometimes disproportionately on Trained Economists. The fundamental issues underlying root problems in each of the 9 NRMAPs (Climate Change and Agriculture) Components – Agriculture; Ecosystem and Biodiversity; Water; Health – Plant, Animal, Human; Tourism; Infrastructure; Energy; Humanitarian; Institutional and Systems Reform that is Integral Part of Sustainable Solutions to Development, Diplomacy, Defense, Data, Democracy and Elections real and complex problems on the ground in each of the 193/306 UN Member States are well beyond what only Trained Economists can handle and that explains why working HARDer is not delivering Better Performance and Results in IMF and indeed other UN System: UNO and WBG Entities.

To achieve continuously improving Performance and Results in design and delivery of UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF new IDCR that is integral part of reinforced Global and National Collective Action for achieving NRMAP that is integral part of 2030 Agenda – AAAA, SDG, COP21, Agenda 21, there is a need to meaningfully involve balanced mix of Multidisciplinary Professionals from Arts, Humanities, Sciences, Engineering, Medicine; that is Academics, Professionals and Practitioners whose collective expertise, perspectives and diversity are adequate to help Stakeholders in specific Community to Global Location Context grapple effectively with their unique UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF New IDCR Policy, Program, Project Intervention, 3PI and 3PI Training as One Challenges.


World Leaders and National Leaders in each of the 3 Major Blocks – Member States; UN System – UNO, WBG and IMF and CSOs/NGOs need to recognize that there is no way Trained Economists alone can provide all of the answers to all of the New NRMAP-Ag, New NRMAP and UN System New IDCR that is integral part of 2030 Agenda – AAAA, SDG, COP21, Agenda 21 real and complex problems on the ground from Community to Global levels and that for Best Results, there is a need to include all relevant Multidisciplinary Academics, Scientists, Arts, Engineering, Humanities, Medicine: Professionals and Practitioners.


UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF New IDCR Capacity Building

In the UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF New IDCR, Policy Makers and Decision Makers need to recognize that Effective and Efficient Capacity Building needs to be on 3 Levels:-
  1. Individual: Hard Competences – Learning and Skills and Soft Competences – Character, Courage, Discipline and Mindset.
  2. Institution: Systems and Processes operating at minimum certain levels of performance and productivity to support Individuals to deploy Hard and Soft Competences acquired in their day to day work.
  3. Society: Political, Cultural, Economic, Financial, Social, Environment, Peace, Security, Religious, Moral, Technical and Legal Space for Institutions to Thrive on Chaos.
in each of the 3 Major Blocks of Stakeholders in the New IDCR Processes that is Integral Part of the AAAA, SDG, COP21, Agenda 21 aligned and harmonized with Community Development Plans and Country Development Plans in each of 193/306 Member States are: Member States; UN System – UNO, WBG, IMF and CSOs/NGOs.

Our Study Finding is that there are Research and Knowledge Gaps in each of the 3 Major Blocks that need to be filled. To achieve this, there are Capacity Building Gaps in each of the 3 major Blocks that also needs to be filled and without delay, if there is to be increasing convergence between UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF New IDCR Vision Intention and Reality that is integral part of work towards achieving increasing convergence between NRMAP Vision as well as AAAA, SDG, COP21 and Agenda 21 Visions Intention and Reality in each Community in each of the 193/306 Member States. Also, Capacity Building Challenge is not only on Developing Countries side.

These Capacity Building realities on the ground challenges World Leaders and National Leaders in each of the 3 Blocks to Individually and Jointly find ways and means of continuously improving Collaboration, Cooperation, Cohesion and Coordination from Community to Global levels, because the threat of Climate Change in Agriculture and remaining identified New NAP 8 Components are real and failure to come up with credible Community to Global Climate Change Mitigation, Resilience and Adaptation Sustainable Solutions Framework could have ultimate catastrophic consequences for our fragile Planet.

UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF New IDCR Interventions – Selecting Preferred Consultants

The UN System – UNO, WBG and IMF Entities have standard guidelines for selection of Consultants. However, the UN System – UNO, WBG, IMF Procurement Process needs to appreciate the difference in regular Consulting Services Procurement such as Financial Audit where standards exist and qualified Service Providers deliver to these standards and so any Pre Qualified Consultant can deliver equally on the Assignment, therefore NO HARM is done in selecting the Lowest Financial Proposal to Definite Quantity Contract and Reform Consulting Services Procurement.

In Reform Consulting Services Procurement, such as Policy Reform where no standards exist and Innovation and Creativity are Keys and so all Pre Qualified Consultants cannot deliver equally on the Assignment, therefore MUCH HARM is usually done in selecting the Lowest Financial Proposal, if this does not coincide with the Highest Technical Proposal. Thus, the selection of Preferred Consultant that consistently Deliver Good Reform Policies, Programs, Projects, continues to pose major Challenge for UN System Entities and Member States.

The New IDCR that would help UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF achieve increasing convergence between NRMAP Vision that is integral part of 2030 Agenda – AAAA, SDG, COP21, Agenda 21 aligned and harmonized with Community Development Plans and Country Development Plans in each of 193/306 UN Member States needs to have New Procurement Processes, with New Rules that effectively respond to this difference and in ways that ensure Accountability is effectively promoted and protected through ensuring that each Preferred Consultant deliver on promise made in their Technical Proposal. This way Preferred Consultants who consistently deliver flawed or failed Technical Proposals are no longer rewarded with renewed Patronage and Procurement Commissioners and Managers who consistently select Preferred Consultants who consistently deliver flawed or failed Technical Proposals are sanctioned.

New IMF ARC Series – Acid Test of Credibility

The Acid Test of Credibility of the New ARC Series is How it Delivers from Community to Global levels:-
  1. Better Agriculture Crops, Livestock, Forestry, Fisheries and Aquaculture Information Services, Cooperatives Services and Commodity Markets
  2. Better Innovation and Creativity in Climate Change Resilience, Mitigation and Adaptation Solutions Management as well as in the Optimization of Climate Change Gains and Minimization of Climate Change Losses.
  3. Better Trade, Aid, Debts, Anti Corruption and Anti Terror Solutions Management
  4. Better Multi Stakeholder Partnerships for Driving Policy, Program, Project Interventions, 3PIs and 3PIs Training as One within (1) – (3)

New UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF Vision – Paradigm Shifts

It is clear that in the work towards transforming UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF into Institutions Fit for the 21st Century, the UN System needs to be Reformed within a New UN System Vision. In the work towards achieving increasing convergence between New UN System: UNO, WBG and IMF Vision, Mission and Mandate that effectively reinforce UN System - UNO, WBG, IMF Delivery as One, as the UN System work better towards achieving 2030 Agenda - AAAA, SDG, COP21, Agenda 21 Visions by 2030 Target date, there is a need for UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF Internal and External Publics to have genuine recognition that; our world today needs a paradigm shift from Talking and Thinking to Action and Accomplishments for Results. That is at the community level, at the sub-national level, at the country level, at the sub-regional level, at the regional level, and at the global level, we all need to make these things happen:
a)       jointly making paradigm shifts from working in silos to working intersectorially in synergy;
b)      from multiple approaches to common approaches that continuously improve convergence, alignment and harmony;
c)      from business as usual to business unusual;
d)      from parrotting change to practicing change;
e)      from academic research aimed at advancing frontiers of knowledge to development research aimed at significant improvement in critical contemporary measures of service, speed, costs, quality and where necessary revenue;
f)       from talking and thinking to Action and Accomplishment.

A platform such as the IMF 2016 Annual Research Conference and similar Platforms in IMF as well as in remaining UN System Entities: UNO and WBG, is a Global Public Good that helps all parties engage in dialogue and agree on way-forward actions.
One Worldwide Approach

We note that there are different approaches, visions, models and tools available to each country to achieve NRMAP in all its 9 Components including Agriculture, Infrastructure, Health – Plant, Animal, Human etc; AAAA; SDG; COP21 and Agenda 21, in accordance with its national circumstances and priorities as well as its own development context. However, if there is to be continuously improving collaboration, cooperation, cohesion and coordination in the design and delivery of Policy, Program, Project Interventions, 3PIs and 3PIs Training as One, a need arises for United Community to Global Visions whose implementation and evaluation is built upon One Worldwide Approach that is a Common and Systemic Approach for improving Ownership, Alignment, Harmony etc that has clear Principles, Instruments / Tools corresponding to each Principle, Practices and Database. The New UN System: UNO, WBG and IMF IDCR Vision needs to coincide with such United Community to Global Vision and needs to effectively connect each Community in each of the 193/306 Member States to UNO Headquarters New York, WBG Headquarters Washington, IMF Headquarters Washington, FAO/IFAD Headquarters Rome and ILO Headquarters Rome.

3PCM is an Advance One Worldwide Approach that is sufficiently all inclusive, all embracing and ambitious to meet the implementation as well as evaluation demands of an all inclusive, all embracing and ambitious SDGs, that is essentially the over-arching 2030 Global Agenda and which in reality includes NRMAP-Ag, NRMAP, AAAA, COP21 and Agenda 21.




Inclusion and Participation

We note with both interest and concern that since inception in 2000 to date, there has been no Black or Chinese Chair, Presenter or Panelist in any of the 17 ARC’s. Can there be such level of discrimination in the ARC Series, and the outcome of the Arc’s be expected to meet the yearnings and desires of Ordinary People in Rural and Urban Communities across our World today.

We took up the matter with the present ARC Team and were informed that the Calendar had been irrevocable set as at the time of our request.

Transparency and Accountability

The unshakeable fact is that there is culture of “Omarta” in the UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF and that that of WBG is worse than that of UNO and that of IMF is worse than that of WBG. Whereas UNO and WBG have Visible Offices and UNO has Marked Vehicles; IMF uses Secret Offices that is essentially an Outpost catering to the Needs of Missions on the ground in Countries. In the circumstance it is easy for any IMF Staffer who moves from Government Offices to 5 Star Hotels to be callous in Policy Recommendations and insist on strict implementation on the grounds that the greater the pain and misery of the Poor, the more the physical demonstration that the Policy Recommendation is working.

IMF will be doing itself and our World Great Good should it maintain Open Offices like UNO and WBG Entities. This way even the most stone hearted IMF Staff who is living with the People and sees first hand, the Development Impact of his/her Policy Recommendations, will find it especially difficult to remain indifferent.

It is pertinent to note that IMF cannot show any Country it had taken from Crisis to Leading World Economy as evidence that its Policy Recommendations work. On the contrary, evidence abounds of Countries that rejected IMF prescription and went for alternative therapy and have become Leading World Economies. A key outcome from 2016 ARC can and should be the firm commitment of IMF Governing Council and Executive Management to hold IMF Staff accountable for Policy Recommendation and give Reward for those that Work and are seen to Work for the Poor in the concerned Countries and give Sanctions for those that Do not Work and are seen not to Work for the Poor in the concerned Countries.

Way Forward

Innovation and Creativity are Keys as we face Community to Global Challenges of Modernization and Climate Change in the 21st Century.

The correct answers to SDG, AAAA, COP21 etc How questions could be found first, in selecting One Worldwide Approach, and second in establishing Pilot Programs to test good ideas and pertinent suggestions harvested from Global Consultations and Scale Up Programs at National, Regional and Global levels for ideas and suggestions that Pilot Programs identify as Working.


As long as Stakeholders continue to use multiple, sometimes divergent Approaches and as long as ideas and suggestions cannot be tested to determine what works and how it could be expanded and what is not working and how it could be corrected, it would be uphill task achieving increasing convergence between New UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF Vision Intention and Reality.

2016 ARC could help find sustainable solutions to identified real and complex International Development Cooperation problems on the ground, should:
1.      This Paper be circulated to all Facilitators and Participants at ARC 2016 and points made appropriate to each Session discussed.
2.      All good ideas and suggestions harvested from ARC 2016 be articulated into 2016 ARC Outcome Document.
3.      IMF Governing Council and Executive Management genuinely commit and be seen to commit towards full implementation as well as effective monitoring and evaluation of the implementation of the 2016 ARC Outcome Document.


Conclusion

In the work towards achieving the 2030 Agenda Vision ambitions by Target date, fundamental issues that ought to have been settled by end 1st quarter 2015, that is, 6 months before World Leaders endorsed the historic document are still outstanding in 4th quarter 2016, that is, 13 months after the SDGs have been endorsed. 

There are Bright Prospects of Success, should UN System: UNO, WBG, IMF entities genuinely commit towards implementing this New IDCR and should Stakeholders in 3 identified Blocks willingly join and actively participate in the New IDCR Activities in ways that promote and protect the Common Interest and Common Future of Citizens in all UN Member States.

Contact:
Director General
International Society for Poverty Elimination / Economic Alliance Group
Akure – Nigeria, West – Africa.
M: +234-8162469805

Email: nehap.initiative@yahoo.co.uk                                            3 November 2016.

Sunday, October 23, 2016

Global Push To Achieve SDGs Vision and Words with Action Agenda 30

ISPE       EAG
INTERATIONAL SOCIETY FOR POVERTY ELIMINATION                   ECONOMIC ALLIANCE GROUP

Briefing # 9: The $5 Trillion Wars and $15 Trillion Wars: Rethinking Development, Diplomacy, Defence, Democracy and Data – Central Role for SDG Vision and Words with Action?
Global Call to US Leaders, Europe Leaders, World Leaders, Representatives of 193 UN Member States, 9 Major Groups, other CSOs’ and other Stakeholders.
By Lanre Rotimi and Peter Orawgu.                                                     23 October 2016


Introduction

The evidence of the 135th US Labour Day is that Poverty in America is at Jim Crow Days level for increasing number of American Children, Youth, Women, Men and Elders. If there is any comfort, across the Ocean in the UK, Poverty is now at Victorian Era levels for increasing number of UK Children, Youth, Women, Men and Elders. This is also the reality in many Developed and Developing Countries in our World today. Therefore, putting these issues firmly on the Front Burner in the Public Arena in the 16 Days remaining to US 2016 Presidential Elections, are issues that are too important to be left in the hands of American Politicians and American Citizens alone.

Refocusing the 2016 US Presidential Elections on Fundamental Issues
US$ 5 Trillion War on Terror

16 days to the 8 November US Presidential Elections, there is a need to reflect deeply on root problems that led to this Election being probably the most divisive ever in US history and make meaningful progress finding sustainable solutions to same, even in the limited time remaining because 24 hours is a very long time in Politics, how much more 16 days. This is more so when this 2016 US Presidential Elections coincide with 135th Labor Day in US and 1st year after World Leaders endorsed the SDG.

The most recent estimates suggest that US War on Terror has cost about US$5 Trillion and has been financed through Bonds in ways that side track US Budgetary Framework and so American Politicians and American Citizens appear ignorant of this staggering costs, since it is not financed by Tax and repayment will be the responsibility of future Generations of Americans.

It is a Scar on the Conscience of American Politicians and American Public that this US$ 5 Trillion and increasing War on Terror is essentially a Spectator War in which most Americans are neither involved nor engaged. This accounts for the absence of any real political discussion about how America will fund huge costs of the War on Terror that are still to be paid — for example, the $1 Trillion in lifetime disability compensation that Americans have awarded to 960,000 recent veterans.

It is worse that no American is asking whether the current approach in Afghanistan is working. Last month the US special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction, John Sopko, reported that corruption in Afghanistan is far more widespread than before the 2001 US invasion, due to US policies that “unintentionally aided and abetted corruption.” But his investigations get barely a mention in the media. Americans need to actually learn lessons from lessons learnt in the past 15 years of War on Terror

The required minimum certain levels of change will begin to occur only if Americans are obliged to pay for War on Terror operations on “Pay as Americans Go” basis, and also set aside money now to support and care for American veterans in the future. This is not simply about sound fiscal budgetary policy. Rather, it is about shouldering the burden of America Wars and, in doing so, being open to learn from America Wars mistakes. All Americans want to continue to “Support America Troops.” Sweeping the costs under the carpet is clearly not the right way to do it. Now is the time for US Universities, American Elders, American Citizens of Goodwill, American Security and American Media to be more determined in pursuing American Rescue Mission that Works.

US$ 15 Trillion War on Poverty

In addition to the US$5 Trillion War on Terror, the US Government is also Fighting War on Poverty at cost of US$15 Trillion. Americans need to be genuinely concerned and engaged in HOW American Congress Finance War on Terror and War on Poverty. Americans in indeed the World would be better off, using the next 16 Days to the 2016 Presidential Elections for Serious Talk on Serious Issues of the Dishonest Methods American Congress use to spend money and buy votes.

The Social Programs within War on Poverty are destined to bankrupt America by the way their finances are structured and by America’s demographics, if not urgently overhauled. Whoever becomes the next US President will have the honour of guiding America through the next waves of National and Global Financial Crises any of which could make 1930s Global Recession Child’s Play if urgent remedial measures are not taken.

Evaluation – Learning Lessons

There is urgent need to undertake sound Evaluation of past 15 Years (September 2001 – September 2016) of American War on Terror, if the next 15 (September 2016 – September 2031) Years Scorecard is to be different and also undertake sound Evaluation of the first 50 Years (January 1964 – January 2014) of American War on Poverty, if the next 50 Years (January 2014 – January 2064) Scorecard is to be different.

As long as American Politicians and American Citizens as well as Politicians in other Developed Countries and Developing Countries and Citizens in other Developed Countries and Developing Countries do not actually learn lessons of history, these Politicians and Citizens are doomed to repeat the mistake of history at Sub-national, National and International levels in the National and Global War on Terror and War on Poverty.

As long as American Politicians and American Citizens leave undone what they ought to do and do what they ought not to do, the real issues will continue to be avoided or evaded and the next American President will not clear signal from the American Citizens that help him/her Muster the Political Will required to effectively address all necessary Political and Sensitive Issues that Rethinking War on Terror and War on Poverty for Sustainable Solutions need to address in the Common Interest and Common Future of US and the World. This underlines urgent need to build bridge between lessons learning and lessons forgetting from Community to Global levels.

US National Security

American Politicians and American Citizens need to get out of their belief that the rest of the World is America’s potential enemy, that war with someone at each point in time, is always inevitable and only a strong military will keep America safe.

The reality is that this belief no longer holds in today’s World, even if there could be reasons for it in the past. Today there is increasing awareness of Global Human Connectedness and the Shared Planetary Risk of Eco-collapse that is worsened by increasing Climate Change and Agriculture Challenges from Community to Global levels.

The American Politician and American Citizens should appreciate that if they do not know why Terror is Fighting America and the World, they will not know how to Fight Terror within the US and Worldwide; that Fighting Terror that is essentially Guerilla Warfare, using Conventional Warfare Strategy and Tactics effort that is doomed to fail ab initio and that one can reason with another who wants to kill you but does not want to die in the process, however reasoning with one who wants to kill you and die in the process is an entirely different ball game and that collateral damage in Civilian Lives and Property in reality is booster to the Terrorist and so if care is not take Americans will be helping the Terrorists to defeat America and achieve their Goal of American Decline on Palter of Gold.

As America safety is far, far more imperiled by the fact that America has a military whose operations facing current direction and adopting current priorities is, in fact, creating more enemies as it churns out endless collateral damage, a.k.a., dead and injured civilians, than by any enemy that military is allegedly fighting, the time is now for America to Design and Deliver New National Security Strategy and New International Security Strategy that is Integral Part of curing diseases responsible for current failure of Community to Global: Development, Diplomacy, Defense, Democracy – regardless of the form of Government – Capitalism, Socialism, Communism, Welfarism etc in any of the 193/306 UN Member States and Data.

US Congress Gimmicks and President Obama’s Nobel Price for Peace

President Obama promised to end Congress Gimmicks but they continued throughout his Presidency. The next President needs the support of American Citizens to end the Gimmicks in America’s enlightened self interest. President Obama was awarded Nobel Price for Peace at the onset of his Presidency – an act that is similar to awarding pass with Distinction before sitting examination. In the twilight of his Presidency, President Obama would earn his Nobel Price, if he helps to refocus the 2016 Presidential Elections to more effectively address substantive National and International Development Cooperation as well as National and International Security issues.

US Political Revolution and related Revolutions and Initiatives

It is pertinent to note that poverty is a cause and a product of human rights violations; that corruption is a cause and a product of poverty; that injustice is a cause and a product of corruption and that inequality is a cause and a product of injustice. Therefore if American Politicians and American Citizens as well as Politicians in other Developed and Developing Countries and Citizens in other Developed Countries and Developing Countries are to be serious in Fighting the War on Terror and War on Poverty, then more rigorous effort needs to be made towards addressing root problems on the ground within Informality, Formality, Inequality, Poverty Elimination and Environmental Sustainability.
Some American Politicians and American Citizens are calling for Political Revolution to address America’s root problems. However, Political Revolution that is not integral part of Cultural Revolution, Economic Revolution, Financial Revolution, Social Revolution, Environment Revolution, Peace Revolution, Security Revolution, Religion Revolution, Moral Revolution, Technical Revolution and Legal Revolution cannot produce Best Results on Successful and Sustainable Basis. Yet such Integrated Revolutions can only be delivered through Primary Revolutions, Secondary Revolutions and Reinventings such as those set out below whose Design and Delivery are within 2030 Agenda – AAAA, SDG, COP21, Agenda 21 aligned and harmonized with Community Development Plans and Country Development Plans in 193/306 UN Member States.
Reinventings:
Governance, Government, Office of Citizen, Cities / Urban Areas, Villages / Rural Areas, Enterprises, Banks, Media, International Institutions, Universities / Tertiary Institutions


Revolutions:
Primary: Agriculture Revolution, Enterprise Revolution, Government Revolution, Applied Research Revolution, Attitudinal and Behavioural Change Revolution; Data Revolution; Digital Revolution

Secondary: Cooperation Revolution, Advocacy Revolution, Media Revolution, Anti Corruption Revolution, Education, Health, Housing, Evaluation etc

Reinvigoration War on Poverty in US and Worldwide 

2014 was the 50th Anniversary of President Johnson’s War on Poverty. We read with interest the 2014 assessment of US President Johnson’s War on Poverty, by a scholar from the University of Virginia. Our view is that there has been some Progress and some Setbacks; that should all relevant Stakeholders agree to shift focus away from Problems and Fixing Blame and shift focus towards Fixing Problems and Practical Solutions, America and indeed the World can Conquer Poverty.
There is a need for a New Type of assessment of the War on Poverty focusing on what is working and how it can be improved; what is not working and how it can be corrected; where America and World is now and where America and World need to be if the War on Poverty is to be Won on successful and sustainable basis in America and Worldwide by the target date of the 2030 Agenda and certainly, by the 75th Anniversary of President Johnson’s War on Poverty in 2039.
In the work towards Ending Hunger and Poverty in Nigeria, Africa, UK, Europe, US and World; there is a need to Fight and WIN 4 Wars from Village to Global levels: War on Poverty, Hunger, Disease and Environmental Degradation (PHDE). In each war there is a need to Fight and WIN 12 Battles: Battle Against Arrogance, Ignorance, Indifference, Incompetence, Indiscipline, Injustice, Intolerance, Insincerity, Inequality, Interference, Impunity and Corruption (A10IC).

3PCM APPROACH 

Dr. Hellmut Eggers, German, 88 in July 2016 created Project Cycle Management, PCM Approach to Benefits Focused Evaluation in 1987. 29 years after, had there been increasing convergence between Original PCM Approach Intention and Reality, many of the problems highlighted by Evidence Based Policy Development Network, EBPDN, Members in April 2014 Discussion on How Research Influence Policy, that remain valid today, will not exist. Today, only Hellmut and Lanre et all at ISPE / EAG are practising Original PCM.

Lanre Rotimi created Policy, Program, Project Cycle Management, 3PCM and Comprehensive Systems Reform, CSR Approach to Benefits Focused National and International Development in 2009. In 2012 Hellmut and Lanre’s Versions of Original PCM were merged into 3PCM Approach to Sustainable Benefits Focused National and International Development Cooperation.

We note that there are different approaches, visions, models and tools available to each country to achieve National Resilience, Mitigation, Adaptation Plan, NRMAP; having 9 Components including Agriculture, Infrastructure, Health – Plant, Animal, Human etc; AAAA; SDG; COP21 and Agenda 21, in accordance with its national circumstances and priorities as well as its own development context. However, if there is to be continuously improving collaboration, cooperation, cohesion and coordination in the design and delivery of Policy, Program, Project Interventions, 3PIs and 3PIs Training as One, a need arises for United Community to Global Visions whose implementation and evaluation is built upon One Worldwide Approach that is a Common and Systemic Approach for improving Ownership, Alignment, Harmony etc that has clear Principles, Instruments / Tools corresponding to each Principle, Practices and Database. GPEDC Vision needs to coincide with such United Community to Global Vision.

Within 3PCM Approach, National and International Development Cooperation – Policy, Program, Project Interventions; 3PIs’ are Designed and Delivered as a set of Integrated ACTIONS as One:-
1.     Consultative Research
2.     Diagnostic Studies
3.     Prescription
4.     Surgery
5.     Recovery Management

That is 3PCM Initiative – Design and Delivery of 3PIs’ using (1) – (5) as One and 3PCM Training – Design and Delivery of 3PIs’ using (1) – (5) as One Training are two sides of the same coin. Neither can stand alone.

(1) – (5) are interlinked, interconnected and interdependent. Any 3PI where one or more of the 5 Actions are not undertaken at  minimum certain levels of Effectiveness and Efficiency cannot achieve set Goals and targets at all not to talk of on time. Documents relating to 3PCM Approach, including Generic MAF and Testing MAF available upon request.

Implementing Study Report Recommendations

ISPE / EAG have identified that flaws and failures implementing Sound Recommendations set out in Study Reports – including Reports such as World Development Reports, WDRs’; Conference Reports; Parliamentary Committee Reports; Regulatory Agency Reports, arise from the following Root Problems:-
1.     Lack of One Worldwide Common and Systemic Approach to National and International Development Cooperation as well as National and International Security Strategy.
2.     Lack of National and International Development Cooperation Stakeholder Groups Master Multi Stakeholder Platforms MSP, and MSPs that effectively Link Decision Makers and Managers on UN Members States; UN System – UNO, WBG, IMF and CSOs/NGOs from Community to Global levels
3.     Lack of Movement for Positive Development Change Driving Sub-national, National and Global Collective ACTION that effectively link each Community in each of 306/193 UN Member States with UNO Headquarters New York, WBG Headquarters Washington, IMF Headquarters Washington, FAO/IFAD Headquarters Rome and ILO Headquarters Rome .
4.     Lack of adequate National and International Development Cooperation Statutory Regulatory Agencies at National, Regional and Global levels.
5.     Lack of bringing to bear Whole of Community/Country/Bank/Institution Thinking towards the Sustainable Solutions to Whole of Community/Country/Bank/ Institution problems.

GPDEC HLM2

Poverty, Hunger, Insecurity and Climate Change are the most urgent problems facing our World today and demand National Leaders and World Leaders work SMARTer to continuously improve collaboration, cooperation, cohesion and coordination within North South and South South Multi Stakeholder Platforms, MSPs, that effectively link each Community in each of the 193/306 Member States to UNO Headquarters New York, WBG Headquarters Washington, IMF Headquarters Washington, FAO/IFAD Headquarters Rome and ILO Headquarters Rome.

The GPDEC HLM2 Nairobi, December 2016 offers Global Platform for President Obama and US President Elect, UN Secretary General and UN Secretary General Election as well as the FAO DG to jointly seek effective support of National Leaders and World Leaders in the 3 Major Blocks – Major Groups, UN System – UNO, WBG, IMF and CSOs/NGOs for the Implementation and Evaluation of New NRMAP-Ag that is integral part of NRMAP that is integral part of renewed Global Collective Action towards sustainable solutions to all AAAA, SDG, COP21, Agenda 21 real and complex root problems on the ground from Community to Global levels.

Pilot Program and Scale Up Program

The Best way to Learn to Swim is to get into the Swimming Pool. The Best way to Test the Good Ideas and Pertinent Suggestions the HLM2 Team would harvest from HLM2 and its Global Consultation is to start immediately a Pilot Program and Scale Up Program.

GPEDC Vision – Acid Test of Credibility
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The Acid Test of Credibility of the GPEDC Vision is How it Delivers from Community to Global levels:-
1.      Better Aid, Trade, Debts, Anti Corruption and Anti Terror Interventions
2.      Better Innovation and Creativity in Climate Change Resilience, Mitigation and Adaptation Solutions Management
3.      Better Collaboration, Cooperation, Cohesion and Coordination
4.      Better Pilot Programs and Scale Up Programs

Way Forward

Innovation and Creativity are Keys as we face Community to Global Challenges of Modernization and Climate Change in the 21st Century. 2016 US Presidential Elections and all that follows within and outside the US; France and German Elections in 2017 and all that follows as well as UK and EU Brexit negotiations and all that follows underline need to evolve New National and International Institutions Fit for the 21st Century.

The correct answers to HLM2 How questions could be found first, in selecting One Worldwide Approach, and second in establishing Pilot Programs to test good ideas and pertinent suggestions harvested from this Global Consultation and Scale Up Programs at National, Regional and Global levels for ideas and suggestions that Pilot Programs identify as Working. As long as Stakeholders continue to use multiple, sometimes divergent Approaches and as long as ideas and suggestions cannot be tested to determine what works and how it could be expanded and what is not working and how it could be corrected, it would be uphill task achieving increasing convergence between HLM2 Vision Intention and Reality.
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Conclusion

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These are indeed trying times. There is need to address fundamental issues of Denial, Deception and Delusion if sustainable solutions are to be found to War on Terror and War on Poverty in Nigeria, Africa, UK, Europe, US and rest of the World.

There is urgent need to move Nigeria, Africa, UK, Europe, US and rest of the World away from current path of acceleration on the MADning (Mutually Assured Destruction) Road to Doom to new path of acceleration on the MAPing (Mutually Assured Prosperity) Road to BOOM. There are bright prospects of success, if the right thing is done and on time.



Contact:
Lanre Rotimi
Director General,
International Society for Poverty Elimination / Economic Alliance Group,
Akure – Nigeria, West Africa.

M: +234-8162469805